Elections 2018: defeating blackburn one carp cap at a time

Health insurance rip off lying FDA big bankers buying
Fake computer crashes dining
Cloning while they're multiplying
Fashion shoots with Beck and Hanson
Courtney Love, and Marilyn Manson
You're all fakes
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We'll kick your ass in

Postby shark week » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:14 am

important dentist wrote:you can sign up to text for beto if you're looking for something to do in some spare time (i think they'll let you if you're out of state; it's all done through an in-browser program)
http://www.betofortexas.com/text

my girlfriend did it a few times and she said a bunch of people were really rude to her


this seems like a bad idea

i guess it's roughly the same as phonebanking but text messages seem like a bridge too far

i have no basis for this opinion so hopefully i'm wrong and they have proof that this is a positive thing for a campaign to be doing
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:17 am

why would you be more annoyed to get a text than get phonebanked
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Postby Barthes Starr » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:18 am

suraj patel's congressional campaign in nyc did tindr-banking and lost so
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Postby shark week » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:18 am

text messages seem more personal

i don't get texts from anyone that i don't know

i get phone calls from people i don't know all the time
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Postby Feech La Manna » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:19 am

Damn I think I might sign up for that just to see the replies
badhat wrote:bike solve all problems
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Postby Feech La Manna » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:19 am

I am a sick man
badhat wrote:bike solve all problems
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Postby endless dave » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:20 am

Barthes Starr wrote:

cool, cool


I mean, the article lays out pretty flatly that the process of getting off the ballot/getting unendorsed is weirdly difficult and convoluted and this is sort of unmarked territory so for a campaign that didn't expect to lose to be a bit flatfooted and slow in dealing with it, doesn't seem too wild of an idea
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:20 am

delgriffith wrote:
palmer eldritch wrote:

This rules. We gonna go to Delaware and canvass, palmer?


im on my way
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Postby delgriffith » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:20 am

Texting is fine. Most of the time people don't reply.
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:21 am

the main thing I know about delaware is that it does not have a DSA chapter and.. its somewhere to my east
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:25 am

we get beto texts. it doesnt matter that much. one time I got an our revolution text that reminded me to go vote in a really down ticket in the weeds race so I think they are good.
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:29 am

endless dave wrote:
Barthes Starr wrote:

cool, cool


I mean, the article lays out pretty flatly that the process of getting off the ballot/getting unendorsed is weirdly difficult and convoluted and this is sort of unmarked territory so for a campaign that didn't expect to lose to be a bit flatfooted and slow in dealing with it, doesn't seem too wild of an idea


WFP asked them to do it and they said no. it's shady
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:31 am

and they spent a million bucks losing. they werent REALLY caught flat footed by this race.
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Postby Feech La Manna » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:35 am

palmer eldritch wrote:and they spent a million bucks losing. they werent REALLY caught flat footed by this race.


check the date on this

https://theintercept.com/2018/06/09/joe-crowley-alexandria-ocasio-cortez/
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Postby delgriffith » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:35 am

It's really not convoluted. Crowley is very familiar with the procedure, and all the paperwork is on WFP's end. They're asking, he's saying no. Fuck him.
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Postby Feech La Manna » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:35 am

Crowley is an entitled piece of shit who lives in Virginia anyway
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:37 am



this is a dynamic I felt like existed but it looks a lot cooler on a chart than I expected
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Postby delgriffith » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:38 am

Feech La Manna wrote:Crowley is an entitled piece of shit who lives in Virginia anyway

But he played "Born to Run" for her!
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Postby Feech La Manna » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:38 am

wow
badhat wrote:bike solve all problems
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:48 am



this plan awful
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Postby Feech La Manna » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:50 am

Just make Barbara Lee leader and feel good about yourselves for once in your lives
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:51 am

It's Hoyer Time, Baby
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Postby important dentist » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:52 am

Feech La Manna wrote:
check the date on this

[url]https://theintercept.com/2018/06/09/joe-crowley-alexandria-ocasio-cortez/[/url]

nice?
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cannot afford to spend that much time researching human sexuality."
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Postby surly » Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:58 am

lordofdiapers wrote:damn it Greedo will forever fuck that word for me
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Postby delgriffith » Thu Jul 12, 2018 11:00 am

Time to send Tom to the Carper.
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Jul 12, 2018 11:25 am

thats the angle I was imagining yep
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Postby saranclaps » Thu Jul 12, 2018 12:47 pm

Barthes Starr wrote:suraj patel's congressional campaign in nyc did tindr-banking and lost so
i did this in 2014 and 2016 on my own and could've told them it was a bad idea.
Real Love wrote:every once in a while saranclaps will try to do a funny and it's an extremely off note but I'm not totally convinced he's aware of what is happening
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Postby delgriffith » Thu Jul 12, 2018 12:49 pm

lol, I love you saranclaps.
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Postby gandhi » Thu Jul 12, 2018 1:13 pm

edit whoops just saw del's post

he's not going to run and its stupidly complicated to take your name off the ballot i guess?
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Jul 12, 2018 1:19 pm

I've been keeping an individual race house polling spreadsheet and here's what things look like rn (avg of publicly available polls in a race vs district PVI)

Image

I have no context whether this is good or bad cause I dunno what this would look like in a previous cycle at this point. interesting the intersection point of the best fit line is roughly the median house PVI. easy to see how national climate breaking a few points either way can get you to either a pretty mediocre pickup or a crashing wave.
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